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Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy's content profile, based on 18 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Construction of a risk prediction model for postoperative bleeding in patients with thyroid cancer based on clinical data

zhang, y.; chen, w.; li, x.; shen, w.

2026-07-18 oncology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358297 medRxiv
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Objective To develop and validate a risk model for predicting postoperative bleeding in patients with thyroid cancer. Methods A total of 2800 consecutive patients diagnosed with thyroid cancer in the Department of Thyroid and Breast Surgery of the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University between January 2020 and December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were categorized into two groups based on postoperative bleeding occurrence: bleeding and non-bleeding groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were utilized to screen independent risk factors. Meanwhile, risk prediction models were developed and nomogram . Subgroup analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors. The predictive effects of the models were assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results Of the 2800 recruited patients, 50 had postoperative bleeding, with an incidence rate of 1.7%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, hypertension, total thyroidectomy, tumor size [&ge;]4 cm, and operation time [&ge;]90 min were the risk factors for postoperative bleeding in thyroid cancer patients (P<0.05). A risk prediction model was established based on the above factors, and the area under the ROC curve was 0.881, with a sensitivity of 94.0%, a specificity of 67.3%, and an accuracy of 74.0%. Decision curve analysis revealed that the model had good predictive ability. Conclusions The constructed risk prediction model has good predictive power and can provide a reference for healthcare professionals to predict the risk of bleeding in patients after thyroid cancer surgery.

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Optimizing EGFR Mutation Testing in Resource-Limited Settings: A Comparative Analysis of Diagnostic Platforms in Libya

Ahmed, A. F. F.

2026-06-29 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.25.26356534 medRxiv
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Background Lung cancer mortality is rising in Libya, but access to molecular diagnostics for EGFR mutations--essential for guiding tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy--remains severely limited. Selecting an appropriate testing platform requires balancing analytical performance against cost and infrastructure constraints. Methods We conducted a prospective comparative validation study using formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissue samples from Libyan non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. Following stringent DNA quality control, samples were tested in parallel across four platforms: multiplex real-time PCR (MRT-PCR), reverse hybridization strip assay (RHSA), agarose gel electrophoresis (AGE), and immunohistochemistry (IHC). Performance was assessed by inter-method concordance, turnaround time, and cost per test. Results Of 30 initial samples, only six (20%) met quality thresholds (A260/A280 1.70-1.90; concentration [&ge;]10 ng/{micro}L), highlighting pre-analytical challenges. Three samples harbored EGFR exon 19 deletions. A critical discordance was identified: one sample tested negative by MRT-PCR (Ct {approx}38, {Delta}Ct=13) but positive by RHSA, AGE, and IHC, indicating a false-negative result from the reference method. IHC and RHSA offered the most favorable balance of cost (USD 40-75/test) and operational feasibility, while MRT-PCR (USD 150/test) required specialized infrastructure. Conclusions Relying solely on automated PCR may lead to under-diagnosis in low-cellularity or degraded FFPE samples. We recommend a hybrid algorithm: IHC as a cost-effective primary screen, followed by RHSA for confirmation. This approach optimizes resource allocation and improves diagnostic equity in Libya.

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Differential Recovery Trajectories of Emergency Otolaryngologic Conditions across the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Six-year Longitudinal Study from an Urban Emergency Center

Ogawa, M.

2026-06-23 otolaryngology 10.64898/2026.06.20.26356151 medRxiv
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Objective: The COVID-19 pandemic markedly altered social activity patterns, healthcare utilization, and the epidemiology of infectious diseases. However, its long-term impact on emergency otolaryngologic conditions remains incompletely understood. This study investigated long-term trends in emergency otolaryngologic conditions before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic using comprehensive data from a large urban emergency clinic in Osaka, Japan. Methods: All new otolaryngologic outpatients who visited the Chuo Emergency Medical Clinic (CEMC) in Osaka City between 2019 and 2024were retrospectively analyzed. Annual trends in absolute numbers and relative proportions of emergency otolaryngologic conditions were examined by anatomical region and disease category, using 2019 as the pre-pandemic baseline. Results: A total of 99,324 new otolaryngologic outpatients were analyzed. Overall emergency visits declined sharply to approximately half of baseline in 2020, followed by a gradual but incomplete recovery toward pre-pandemic levels by 2024. Most anatomical categories declined to 45-61% of baseline in 2020 and exhibited gradual yet incomplete recovery through 2023; in stark contrast, laryngeal conditions diverged sharply, surging beyond pre-pandemic levels after 2022. Acute infectious otorhinolaryngologic diseases fell to 23-50% of baseline in 2020 and showed variable recovery (69-103%) by 2024. Notably, laryngitis exceeded the baseline, reaching 132% in 2023, whereas epiglottic edema exhibited only a transient increase approaching the baseline in 2021. Non-infectious emergency conditions generally showed only a marginal decrease in 2020 and remained relatively stable throughout the study period, except for sudden sensorineural hearing loss (SSNHL), which dropped sharply to 39% of the baseline in 2020 and remained persistently reduced through 2024. Traumatic emergencies declined variably to 53-81% of the baseline in 2020, followed by an incomplete recovery, reaching only 55-69% by 2024. Conclusion: Emergency otolaryngologic conditions demonstrated heterogeneous recovery trajectories following the COVID-19 pandemic. While most infectious and traumatic conditions gradually but incompletely normalized, laryngeal conditions showed a distinct post-pandemic surge, and SSNHL remained persistently suppressed. These findings reveal heterogeneous, condition-specific recovery trajectories that reflect both genuine shifts in community pathogen burden, true traumatic incidence, and persistent alterations in healthcare-seeking behaviors, insights essential for resource allocation during future public health emergencies.

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Association between serum CEA levels and ctDNA-detected Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor mutations in lung adenocarcinoma

Roy, S.; Soroar, M. K. I.; Ara, H.; Nur, S. A.; Akanda, R. A.; Saha, S.; Alam, M. M.

2026-07-17 oncology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358115 medRxiv
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Background with objective: Detecting EGFR mutations is critical for treating lung adenocarcinoma with highly effective targeted therapies. However, standard genetic testing is expensive, complex, and often unavailable in resource-limited settings like Bangladesh. Because elevated serum CEA has been linked to these genetic alterations, it could serve as an accessible screening tool. This study aims to evaluate the association between serum CEA levels and EGFR mutation status to determine if routine CEA testing can reliably predict these mutations and guide treatment. Methodology: In this cross-sectional analytical study, we recruited 58 patients with histologically confirmed treatment naive lung adenocarcinoma. The presence of EGFR mutations in the ctDNA was determined via ARMS (Amplification Refractory Mutation System) PCR. Patient data was statistically analyzed to assess the diagnostic correlation between serum CEA levels and the presence of EGFR mutations. Result: The overall EGFR mutation rate was 43.1% with exon 19 deletion (48%) and exon 21 mutations (44%) were the predominant types. Median serum CEA levels were significantly higher in patients with EGFR mutations compared to wild-type cases (14.6 ng/ml vs 2.8 ng/ml, p<0.001). A multivariate analysis revealed a 14% increased likelihood of an EGFR mutation for 1 ng/ml rise in serum CEA. Furthermore, serum CEA showed strong diagnostic accuracy for ctDNA samples at a 6.39 ng/ml cut-off (AUC 0.82, sensitivity 68.0%, specificity 84.8%). Conclusion: Serum CEA is a valuable, cost-effective, and non-invasive biomarker demonstrating significantly higher levels and strong diagnostic accuracy in EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma compared to wild-type cases.

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Vaccination recommendations to others among physicians and the general public: effects of birth-year-based vaccination policy changes assessed by regression discontinuity analysis

Murakami, M.; Kato, H.; Ohtake, F.

2026-07-17 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358203 medRxiv
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Introduction: Recommendations from physicians and peers play a crucial role in promoting vaccination. This study evaluated differences in recommendations to others regarding four vaccines with varying efficacy (seasonal influenza, measles, human papillomavirus [HPV], and coronavirus disease 2019 [COVID-19]) between physicians and the general public and examined the impact of birth-year-based vaccination policy changes on these recommendations. Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted in February 2026 among 492 physicians and 5,252 members of the general public in Japan. Consistency in recommendations across the four vaccines was assessed using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC[3,1]), and group differences were examined using a two-way mixed-design analysis of covariance. Multilevel regression discontinuity analyses were performed to evaluate the effects of birth-year-based vaccination policy. Results: Physicians showed significantly stronger recommendations to others than the general public, and their recommendation patterns generally reflected vaccine efficacy. However, physicians showed lower consistency across vaccine types than the general public (ICC[3,1]), driven primarily by heterogeneity in COVID-19 vaccine recommendations. Regression discontinuity analyses showed that birth-year-based vaccination policy, including routine vaccination opportunities, was significantly associated with recommendations to others for measles and HPV vaccines, independently of perceived benefits and risks. Conclusion: To improve vaccination coverage from a public health perspective, it is important for physicians to provide effective vaccination recommendations to the general public on a broader scale; however, it is also necessary to address the heterogeneity in vaccine-specific recommendation patterns among physicians, as observed for COVID-19. Routine vaccination opportunities may increase vaccination coverage not only through the routine vaccination program itself but also through peer effects among the general public. Vaccination policy may therefore influence vaccination coverage not only in the current generation but also in future generations. Designing vaccination policy should consider its long-term impact on future vaccination coverage as well as herd immunity.

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Diagnostic performance of Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra assay for tuberculosis in stool specimens among adult presumptive TB patients in a generalized HIV epidemic setting

Aung, H. K. K.; Thi, S. S.; Watthanaworawit, W.; Phyo, A. P.; Nosten, F. H.

2026-08-24 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.08.20.26360877 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND Diagnosis of Tuberculosis (TB) from stool specimen using the Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra assay (Xpert-Ultra assay) is important to confirm diagnosis for presumptive TB patients who are unable to produce sputum. We evaluated diagnostic performance of the Xpert-Ultra assay in stool specimen among adult migrant population living in generalized HIV epidemic situation. METHODS A prospective, cross-sectional study was conducted at outpatient and inpatient departments of the Shoklo Malaria Research Unit (SMRU) clinics and Mae Tao Clinic (MTC) located in Thailand-Myanmar border area. Presumptive TB patients of any age who were registered between November 14, 2022, and May 23, 2023, were eligible for inclusion based on reported signs and symptoms and/or radiological findings. Using liquid MTB culture in sputum as reference standard, evaluation of diagnostic performance of the Xpert-Ultra assay in stool was performed, and it was also compared with performance of smear microscopy and Xpert-Ultra assay in sputum specimen. RESULTS Total 113 participants were included in the analysis; 9 (7.96 %) had human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, and 31 (27.43%) had confirmed TB on culture results. Among these culture-confirmed TB cases, the sensitivity of Xpert-Ultra assay in stool specimen was 90.32 % (95% confidence interval [CI], 74.25% to 97.96%). Although the absolute difference in sensitivity of Xpert-Ultra assay in stool was 3.23 % lower than sputum (95% CI: -9.46 % to 3.00 %), there was no statistically significant difference between the two sample types. The specificity of Xpert-Ultra assay in stool specimen was 98.78% (95% CI, 93.39% to 99.97%) against culture-negative TB cases, giving an absolute difference of 1.22 % (95% CI, -1.16% to 3.59%) compared to sputum Xpert-Ultra assay. This method demonstrated that diagnostic performance was consistent with World Health Organization (WHO) target product profiles on low-complexity assays for detecting Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB). CONCLUSIONS The Xpert-Ultra assay in stool specimen can be considered as a potential, alternative method in diagnosis of presumptive pulmonary TB in adults when respiratory sample is difficult to collect.

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Development of patient-reported outcome for spinal and bulbar muscular atrophy

Nagae, M.; Yamada, S.; Ito, D.; Kishimoto, Y.; Komori, S.; Kawase, T.; Iida, M.; Ayano, K.; Yamamoto, M.; Alqahtani, A.; Kazmi, N.; Grunseich, C.; Katsuno, M.; Hashizume, A.

2026-07-06 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.02.26356783 medRxiv
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Objectives: To develop and validate a disease-specific patient-reported outcome (PRO) measure for spinal and bulbar muscular atrophy (SBMA). Methods: A three-stage sequential design was adopted. Items were generated through qualitative interviews with patients with SBMA and expert review, refined using quantitative analyses, and evaluated for reliability and validity in independent cohorts from Japan and the United States. Results: Interviews with 12 patients generated 234 candidate items, which were refined into a final 31-item SBMAPRO comprising five domains based on an online survey of 106 patients. Internal consistency across domains ranged from Cronbach's alpha values of 0.651 to 0.901. In the Japanese cohort, test-retest reliability yielded intraclass correlation coefficients of 0.941 for physical function, 0.877 for mental health, and 0.858 for social function. Construct validity was examined through correlations with disease-specific functional measurements and the 36-Item Short Form Survey (SF-36). The SBMAPRO correlated with the SBMA Functional Rating Scale (r = -0.826, p <0.001) and with the SF-36 mental health (r = -0.693, p <0.001) and social functioning (r = -0.617, p <0.001) domains. In subscale analyses, the SBMAPRO social domain was associated with trunk-lower limb-related functional impairment (r = -0.587, p < 0.001). Similar patterns were observed in the American cohort. Conclusion: The SBMAPRO demonstrated reliability and validity in Japanese and American cohorts. Associations between mental and social domains and trunk-lower limb dysfunction suggest that mobility impairment may contribute to psychological burden and restricted social participation in SBMA, indicating that this disease-specific PRO may complement clinician-rated measures.

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Clinical outcomes of early aspirin versus non-aspirin NSAID use in adults hospitalized with influenza: A retrospective study

Chan-Colenbrander, S. Y.; Wang, Q.

2026-08-10 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.08.05.26359840 medRxiv
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Seasonal influenza remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Although neuraminidase inhibitors improve outcomes, influenza-related deaths persist. We evaluated the impact of early aspirin (ASA) and non-aspirin nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use on outcomes in adults hospitalized with influenza. This retrospective study included adults admitted to the University of Minnesota Medical Center from 2016 to 2018. Continuous variables were summarized as medians with interquartile ranges (IQRs) and categorical variables as counts and percentages. Group comparisons used Wilcoxon rank-sum, Chi-square, or Fishers exact tests. Analyses included case-control comparisons, assessments by vaccination status, and subgroup analyses by early ASA or NSAID use. Among 2,816 patients, 320 had laboratory-confirmed influenza, with vaccination less common among cases. Unvaccinated patients had higher rates of intensive care unit (ICU) admission (23.6% vs. 11.1%; P = 0.003) and ventilatory support (15.0% vs. 6.1%; P = 0.009). In vaccinated patients, early ASA use was associated with older age and higher in-hospital mortality, whereas early NSAID use was associated with no in-hospital deaths, better one- and three-year survival (P < 0.001), and fewer, though not statistically significant, cardiovascular complications. In unvaccinated patients, ASA use was associated with lower three-year survival (59.1% vs. 79.2%; P = 0.013), while NSAID use was associated with fewer ICU admissions and no cardiovascular or renal complications. In both vaccinated and unvaccinated adults hospitalized with influenza, early NSAID use was associated with improved survival and fewer complications, whereas ASA use was associated with worse outcomes.

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Serotype distribution and risk factors associated with pneumococcal carriage among children with otitis media in Peninsular Malaysia (2023-2025): A cross-sectional study in the early post-vaccination era

Tang, C. Z.; Ramzi, N. H.; Johari, N. A.; Razali, A.; AshaAri, Z. A.; Kamarudin, N.; Hadi, A. A.; Bakar, S. A.; Nor, K. M.; Chong, C. W.; Lister, A. J. J.; Cleary, D. W.; Clarke, S. C.; Sulaiman, L. H.

2026-07-30 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.07.28.26359181 medRxiv
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Background Otitis media is a leading cause of childhood morbidity and presents a significant healthcare burden worldwide. Streptococcus pneumoniae is a major aetiological agent of OM, and the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines into the Malaysian National Immunisation Programme in 2020 would have altered pneumococcal carriage and serotype distribution. This study aimed to determine pneumococcal carriage, serotype distribution, and associated risk factors among children with OM in the early post-PCV era in Peninsular Malaysia. Methods and Findings A total of 360 children with OM were recruited from hospitals on the east and west coasts of Peninsular Malaysia between 2023 and 2025. Nasopharyngeal and middle ear fluid samples were collected for Spn isolation by culture, followed by serotyping using multiplex PCR. Sociodemographic, environmental, and medical history data were analysed for associations with pneumococcal carriage using chi-square, Fishers exact tests, and logistic regression. Pneumococcal carriage was detected in 26.7% of children in either NP or MEF samples, with carriage rates of 25.6% and 1.9% in NP and MEF samples, respectively. The most prevalent serotypes were 23A, 15B/15C, non-typable strains, 19F, and 11A/11D. Daycare attendance (p = 0.012, aOR [95% CI]: 2.177 [1.186 - 3.995] and residence in rural areas (p = 0.019, aOR [95% CI]: 2.476 [1.159 - 5.292] were significantly associated with pneumococcal carriage. The main limitation of the study was the reliance on self-reported questionnaire data, which may have introduced recall bias and reporting errors. Conclusions The predominance of non-vaccine serotypes and non-typable Spn indicates ongoing serotype replacement and the emergence of phase-variant strains in the early post-PCV era. Continued surveillance is essential to monitor these changes and inform the development of next-generation pneumococcal vaccines. This study was registered under clinical trial registration number NCT05429541.

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Conjugation dynamics and persistence of a carbapenem resistance gene blaOXA-72 from Acinetobacter pittii to Acinetobacter baumannii

Bongulto, K.; Tauchi, H.; Suzuki, S.; Watanabe, K.

2026-06-26 microbiology 10.64898/2026.06.25.734492 medRxiv
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Carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter (CRA) has been associated with increased morbidity and mortality in clinical settings. In this study, we explored the transfer potential of a mobilizable plasmid-harboring blaOXA-72 gene between Acinetobacter species originating from patient, municipal wastewater, and pig farm wastewater. PCR-based evidence suggested putative transfer of blaOXA-72 from Acinetobacter pittii to Acinetobacter baumannii. In this pair, the apparent frequency of PCR-marker-positive putative transconjugants varied depending on temperature and meropenem supplementation, with higher number observed at 27{degrees}C compared to 17{degrees}C and 37{degrees}C. Likewise, the presence of antibiotic pressure yields to higher apparent conjugation frequency, however this observation was limited to a singled donor-recipient pair. Further, we revealed a phenotypic conversion in terms of meropenem susceptibility and a fitness cost in the putative transconjugants. While whole genome sequencing did not conclusively verify the presence of blaOXA-72 or fully resolved plasmid configuration, Oxford Nanopore read mapping consistently detected the chromosomal strA gene in all isolates. In contrast, only a limited number of reads aligned with blaOXA-72 gene, traC, or the complete plasmid sequences. Comparative analyses further revealed variations in the surface-associated factors and defense systems composition of the recipient strains, which could be considered as barriers in conjugation. Lastly, the persistence of PCR-detectable marker genes in putative transconjugants was variable and generally unstable over a 30-day period. Overall, these findings provide preliminary insights into the factors that may influence horizontal gene transfer and short-term maintenance of blaOXA-72.

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Multicluster measles outbreak with a substantial proportion of modified cases in Tokyo, Japan, January-May 2026

Nishikawa, Y.; Kurita, J.; Sugawara, T.; Matsuda, A.; Morikawa, R.; Imokawa, Y.; Iwamura, M.; Suzuki, K.; Kodaira, S.; Kikuchi, S.; Takahashi, A.; Nishizuka, I.; Kaku, M.

2026-06-18 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.17.26355652 medRxiv
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Tokyo experienced a measles outbreak (260 cases) in early 2026 despite elimination status. Adults aged 20-39 years were most affected, and 38% of cases were modified measles, increasing with prior vaccination. Although incidence rose until April, the effective reproduction number; R(t) fell below 1, consistent with outbreak control. Multiple clusters were identified, but many cases lacked epidemiological links, suggesting that modified measles is less likely to be considered in differential diagnosis. Intensive contact tracing and surveillance contributed to limiting transmission.

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Elevated TRAF6 expression confers radioresistance and predicts poor prognosis in cervical cancer

chen, J.; Jin, Y.; Li, H.; Lv, X.; Zhao, Q.; Ma, Z.; Yang, Y.; Yang, D.-H.; Zhou, L.; Peng, L.

2026-07-13 oncology 10.64898/2026.07.09.26357625 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: The lack of effective biomarkers and therapeutic targets to overcome radioresistance in cervical cancer remains a major clinical challenge. Tumor necrosis factor receptor-associated factor 6 (TRAF6), an E3 ubiquitin ligase pivotal in immune and inflammatory signaling, has been implicated in various malignancies. However, its role in radioresistance in cervical cancer remains unclear. Methods: TRAF6 expression was evaluated in cervical cancer tissues from 162 patients who underwent postoperative radiotherapy at our institution and in 304 cases from the TCGA-CESC cohort. The prognostic significance of TRAF6 was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses. A nomogram integrating TRAF6 expression with clinicopathological factors was constructed to predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). The functional role of TRAF6 in malignant phenotypes and radiosensitivity was investigated using shRNA-mediated knockdown in HeLa and C33A cervical cancer cells. Immune cell infiltration patterns associated with TRAF6 expression were analyzed using ssGSEA and xCELL algorithms based on TCGA data. Results: TRAF6 expression was significantly elevated in cervical cancer tissues compared with adjacent normal tissues (70.99% vs. control, P < 0.001) and was higher in radioresistant than in radiosensitive patients (P < 0.001). High TRAF6 expression was associated with shorter OS (HR = 18.73, P = 0.004) and PFS (HR = 8.44, P < 0.001) and was identified as an independent risk factor for radiotherapy resistance (OR = 8.44, P < 0.001). The TRAF6-integrated nomogram demonstrated good predictive accuracy for OS (C-index = 0.7351) and PFS (C-index = 0.7444). TRAF6 knockdown in cervical cancer cells significantly suppressed proliferation, migration, and invasion, while substantially enhancing radiosensitivity of tumor cells. Functional enrichment analysis revealed that TRAF6-related genes were enriched in autophagy, mitophagy, and HPV infection pathways. Immune cell infiltration analysis showed that TRAF6 expression correlated with distinct immune cell profiles, characterized by enrichment of activated dendritic cells, M1 macrophages, and regulatory T cells, alongside depletion of cytotoxic effectors such as CD8+ T cells and {gamma}{delta} T cells. Conclusions: TRAF6 could be a prognostic biomarker associated with poor outcomes and indicator of radiotherapy resistance in cervical cancer, TRAF6 represents a potential therapeutic target for overcoming radioresistance in cervical cancer.

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Indocyanine Green Fluorescence-Guided Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy in Breast Cancer Using the MARS Near-Infrared Imaging System: A Prospective Single-Center Feasibility Study

Kurdi, F.; Kurdi, Y.; Kurdi, M.; Pisareva, T. N.; Sukortseva, N. S.; Shiryaev, A. A.; Istranov, A. L.; Reshetov, I. V.

2026-07-01 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.30.26356987 medRxiv
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Background. Sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) is an essential component of axillary staging in breast cancer. Fluorescence-guided mapping with indocyanine green (ICG) enables real-time visualization of lymphatic drainage; however, the parameters of fluorescence-signal recording require standardization. Objective. To assess the technical feasibility and clinical applicability of SLNB with ICG under near-infrared (NIR) imaging guidance in patients with breast cancer. Materials and Methods. This prospective single-center study included 30 patients who underwent ICG-guided SLNB between 2023 and 2025. In 24 patients, ICG mapping was combined with technetium-99m radioisotope navigation; in 6 patients, ICG guidance alone was used. The protocol comprised periareolar ICG injection, standardized imaging conditions, and fluorescence-index recording. Results. The protocol was completed in all 30 patients. Fluorescent visualization of the lymphatic pathway and/or the sentinel lymph node (SLN) was achieved in every case, and no ICG-related adverse reactions were recorded. The mean fluorescence index was 213.0 +/- 24.7, the median was 206.0 [192.5-237.2], and the min-max was 180-255. Conclusion. SLNB with ICG under NIR imaging guidance demonstrated technical feasibility in a prospective single-center cohort. Quantitative fluorescence-index recording may serve as a component of standardizing intraoperative fluorescence guidance. Keywords: breast cancer; sentinel lymph node biopsy; indocyanine green; near-infrared imaging; fluorescence lymphography; fluorescence index; axillary staging.

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Association of a Serum Proteomic Signature With Survival and Immune-Related Adverse Events in Patients With NSCLC Treated With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors

Kim, L.; Shin, D.; Um, T.; Lee, J.; Cho, A.; Chae, Y. K.

2026-07-31 oncology 10.64898/2026.07.29.26358704 medRxiv
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Background: Serum proteomic signatures may reflect tumor- and host-related biology and serve as prognostic biomarkers in patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). We evaluated the association of the VeriStrat serum proteomic classification with survival outcomes and immune-related adverse events (irAEs) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with ICIs. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed patients with NSCLC who received ICI-containing therapy and underwent VeriStrat testing at Northwestern Memorial Hospital from October 2015 through June 2023. Patients were classified as proteomic signature Good (PS-Good) or Poor (PS-Poor). Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed among patients receiving palliative-intent ICI therapy. First any-grade and grade 3 or higher irAEs were evaluated in all ICI-treated patients using cumulative incidence functions and Fine-Gray competing-risk regression. Results: Among 162 ICI-treated patients included in the toxicity analysis, 129 received palliative-intent therapy and were included in the survival analysis; 91 (71%) were PS-Good and 38 (29%) were PS-Poor. PS-Good status was associated with longer PFS (median, 6 vs 3 months; hazard ratio [HR], 0.50; 95% CI, 0.33-0.77; P<0.01) and OS (median, 20 vs 8 months; HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.39-0.91; P=0.02). These associations remained significant after multivariable adjustment for PFS (adjusted HR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.26-0.82; P<0.01) and OS (adjusted HR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.28-0.87; P=0.01). Any-grade irAEs showed a nonsignificant trend toward a higher cumulative incidence in PS-Good patients. At 12 months, the cumulative incidence was 32.6% for PS-Good versus 22.5% for PS-Poor (subdistribution HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 0.77-3.02; P=0.23). The cumulative incidence of grade 3 or higher irAEs was similar between groups (16.3% vs 15.0%; subdistribution HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 0.48-2.62; P=0.79). Conclusions: PS-Good classification was independently associated with improved survival in patients with NSCLC receiving ICI-containing therapy. Although any-grade irAEs were numerically more frequent among PS-Good patients, proteomic classification was not significantly associated with any-grade or high-grade irAE risk. Prospective validation is warranted.

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Post-pandemic ecological reshaping of respiratory pathogen circulation: A six-year FilmArray(R)-based surveillance study in Tokyo, Japan (2020-2026)

Takeuchi, J. S.; Kurokawa, M.; Yamamoto, K.; Yamanaka, J.; Morino, E.; Takayanagi-Nishisako, S.; Ohmagari, N.; Sugiura, W.; Kimura, M.

2026-09-02 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.08.28.26360747 medRxiv
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Background The COVID-19 pandemic substantially altered respiratory pathogen circulation worldwide. However, longitudinal analyses of changes in respiratory pathogen ecology across the pandemic and post-pandemic periods remain limited. Methods We analyzed 19,968 respiratory samples tested with the BioFire(R) FilmArray(R) Respiratory Panel at a hospital in Tokyo, Japan, between January 2020 and March 2026. We evaluated temporal changes in pathogen circulation, age-specific epidemiology, co-detection patterns, pairwise pathogen associations, and clinical parameters. Results At least one respiratory pathogen was detected in 27.8% of tests. Respiratory pathogens resurged asynchronously following the relaxation of COVID-19-related public health measures. Influenza virus circulation remained markedly suppressed until late 2022 before re-emerging in successive large seasonal epidemics, whereas other pathogens, including RSV, human metapneumovirus, and Mycoplasma pneumoniae, exhibited distinct resurgence patterns. Pathogen distributions also varied by age. Human rhinovirus/enterovirus remained predominant among young children, whereas SARS-CoV-2 predominated among older adults. Co-detection occurred in 14.0% of positive specimens and was significantly more frequent in younger patients. Pairwise analysis identified both positive and negative pathogen associations; however, the patterns varied across age groups and study periods. Conclusions Respiratory pathogen circulation changed substantially during the transition from the COVID-19 pandemic to the post-pandemic period, with pathogen-specific, age- and period-dependent patterns. Continued surveillance is warranted to determine how respiratory pathogen circulation will evolve and to inform infection control strategies in the post-pandemic era.

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Biopsychosocial determinants of HPV vaccine perception in university students of both sexes in Cucuta, Colombia, 2024: a cross-sectional study

ARIAS-SANCHEZ, A.; Florez, M.; Pereira, N.; Caceres-Penaloza, D. Y.; Dallos Rivera, L. S.; Nunez-Villamizar, K. G.; Beltran - Arroyave, C.

2026-06-22 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.18.26356011 medRxiv
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Colombia has been internationally recognised as a paradigmatic case of vaccine confidence crisis since the 2014 Carmen de Bolivar event, and national HPV vaccination coverage remains far below the World Health Organization 2030 target. Most published evidence focuses on female adolescents and on cervical cancer; the perception of the HPV vaccine in university-age populations of both sexes--and across the broader spectrum of HPV-attributable disease--remains comparatively understudied. We aimed to describe the influence of biopsychosocial determinants on HPV vaccine perception among university students of both sexes in Cucuta, Norte de Santander, Colombia. We conducted a cross-sectional study with a mixed quantitative-qualitative approach in 2024 among four universities (Universidad de Santander, Universidad Francisco de Paula Santander, Universidad de Pamplona and Universidad Libre; combined enrolment 21,033 students). Using convenience sampling stratified by institution, 750 actively enrolled undergraduate students of both sexes (18-60 years) completed a structured online questionnaire adapted from previously validated instruments. The instrument captured sociodemographic information, HPV knowledge and HPV vaccine perception. Data were analysed using Students t-test, one-way analysis of variance, Tukey post-hoc tests, effect sizes and 95% confidence intervals, with a 0.05 significance threshold. Of 750 respondents, 54.2% were women, 61.3% were under 20 years of age, and 75.1% attended public universities. HPV knowledge was high in 39.2%, intermediate in 42.4% and low in 18.4%; women and students aged 26 years or older displayed higher knowledge. Although 91.2% had heard of HPV and 82.5% knew that both sexes could acquire it, recognition of clinical manifestations and complications was uneven: cervical cancer 51.7%, penile cancer 30.5%, vaginal warts 45.9% and warts in the penis, larynx, anus or rectum 34.0%. Vaccine-specific knowledge was low in 77.1%, with men disproportionately represented (85.9% versus 69.5% in women). Overall positive perception of HPV vaccination was 66.6%, slightly higher in women (68.8%) than men (63.9%), in students aged 26 years or older (70.1%) and in students from private universities (68.1% versus 65.9%). Inferential analysis identified sex (Cohens d = -0.357), type of university (d = 0.189) and HPV knowledge (partial eta-squared = 0.096) as the only significant determinants. Age, socioeconomic stratum, age at sexual debut and vaccine-specific knowledge did not reach meaningful significance. HPV vaccine perception was predominantly positive but conditioned by three biopsychosocial determinants, with HPV knowledge as the primary driver. The persistent gender gap reflects historical anchoring of HPV messaging in cervical disease and female-targeted campaigns. Public-health strategies should adopt comprehensive, gender-inclusive educational interventions that explicitly visibilise non-cervical HPV-related cancers and address both sexes from a common evidence base.

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Hantavirus Disease in Uruguay: Trends and Mortality Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

criscuolo, z.; Blanco, L.; Ferrara, F.; Ciaccio, K.; Gomez Carassale, L.; Gonzalez Reyes, M.; Machado Rivero, B.; Sosa Dias, F.; Facal Castro, J. A.

2026-06-11 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.10.26355375 medRxiv
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Introduction: Hantavirus disease is an emerging and potentially severe zoonosis of global distribution. In Uruguay, it is transmitted by rodents inhabiting peridomestic, suburban, and rural areas. Global incidence is estimated at 150,000 to 200,000 cases per year, with up to 300 annual cases in the Americas. Since 1997, Uruguay's Ministry of Public Health (MPH) has monitored Hantavirus cardiopulmonary syndrome (HCPS), the most common clinical presentation in the region. By 2019, a total of 271 cases had been identified in the country, with an estimated mortality rate of nearly 50%. Objectives: To describe the clinical, epidemiological, and occupational characteristics of patients with Hantavirus disease in Uruguay during the pre-pandemic (2018-2019) and pandemic (2020-2021) periods. Methods: A descriptive, cross-sectional, observational study was conducted, including all serologically confirmed cases of Hantavirus infection reported to the MPH between 2018 and 2021. Clinical and demographic data were extracted from the mandatory reporting form for zoonotic diseases. Incidence and case fatality rates were calculated, and factors associated with fatal outcomes were analyzed. Results: A total of 58 confirmed cases were identified between 2018 and 2021. Most patients were male (62%), with a mean age of 36.5 years (SD 16). A decline in incidence was observed during 2020-2021, with no significant change in case fatality. Direct rodent exposure was the most frequently associated risk factor. Montevideo and Canelones were the most affected departments. Renal and pulmonary involvement were significantly associated with mortality. Conclusion: Hantavirus remains a relevant public health concern in Uruguay. Although a decrease in incidence was observed during the COVID-19 pandemic years, case fatality rates remained high. The findings underscore the need for sustained surveillance and early recognition, particularly in urbanizing regions.

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Optimal LDCT screening for never-smoking Asian women using integrated polygenic and environmental risk: a microsimulation modelling study

Kowada, A.

2026-08-19 oncology 10.64898/2026.08.18.26360665 medRxiv
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Objective To identify optimal initiation ages and screening intervals for low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening among never-smoking Asian women using an integrated polygenic risk score (PRS)-environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) risk model, and to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of alternative screening strategies at these optimized ages. Design Integrated PRS-ETS microsimulation modelling. Setting Japan. Participants Never-smoking women stratified into eight risk groups defined by combinations of PRS levels and ETS exposure. Interventions LDCT screening at intervals of 1 to 10 years, annual chest radiography (CXR), or no screening. Main outcome measures Costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), net monetary benefits, lung adenocarcinoma incidence and mortality, and optimal LDCT initiation ages. Sensitivity analyses used a willingness-to-pay threshold of US$50,000 per QALY gained. Results Optimal initiation ages ranged from 40 to 55 years across the eight PRS-ETS risk groups, with higher PRS-ETS risk associated with younger optimal initiation ages. Annual LDCT was the most cost-effective strategy across all PRS-ETS risk strata, yielding an ICER of US$40,471 per QALY in the lowest risk stratum and becoming cost-saving in higher risk strata. Over a lifetime, annual LDCT averted 8,534 lung adenocarcinoma deaths compared with annual CXR and 14,940 deaths compared with no screening. Conclusions Tailoring LDCT initiation age across integrated PRS-ETS risk groups maximizes mortality reduction achievable with cost-effective annual LDCT screening among never-smoking Asian women. These findings highlight an urgent limitation of global lung cancer screening guidelines that rely exclusively on smoking history and provide policy-ready evidence supporting the integration of PRS and ETS into future recommendations for precision LDCT screening for never-smoking populations.

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Development and Validation of a Point-of-Care Triage Scorecard to Enhance Tuberculosis Case Detection During Active Community Screening in Yogyakarta, Indonesia

Catrianiningsih, D.; Felisia, F.; Abdalla, A. S.; Puspitasari, S.; Dwihardiani, B.; Mulia, H. N.; Hidayat, A.; Triasih, R.

2026-08-31 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361569 medRxiv
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In primary healthcare centers lacking advanced imaging, community-based active tuberculosis (TB) case finding often relies on basic symptom screening. This approach often misses cases and leads to the inefficient allocation of rapid molecular testing (RMT). We aimed to develop and internally validate a simple clinical triage scorecard to improve TB detection and guide RMT use in resource-constrained settings. We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional study of 15,137 adults ([&ge;]18 years) evaluated within the Zero TB Yogyakarta program (2020-2025). Participants with complete clinical assessments and confirmatory GeneXpert results were included. Using multivariable logistic regression, we identified independent clinical predictors, which were subsequently transformed into an integer-based point scorecard. Model performance was evaluated via discrimination and calibration, utilizing bootstrap resampling (1,000 iterations) for internal validation. Among the 15,137 participants, 251 (1.7%) were GeneXpert-positive. The final multivariable model identified eight independent predictors: age, male sex, body mass index, prolonged cough, hemoptysis, unexplained weight loss, TB contact history, and diabetes mellitus. The model demonstrated strong predictive accuracy, with an optimism-adjusted AUROC of 0.836 and good calibration. When translated to the integer scorecard and compared directly to standard national symptom screening, the scorecard performed (AUROC 0.81 vs. 0.73; p<0.001). At a high sensitivity cut off score of [&ge;] 0, the tool achieved 93.63% sensitivity and 41.33% specificity. This point-of-care clinical scorecard provides higher diagnostic accuracy than standard symptom screening algorithms. By offering flexible operational thresholds, it empowers local health programs to dynamically balance the urgency of case detection with available diagnostic capacity, optimizing GeneXpert allocation where advanced radiological imaging is unavailable.

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Development and Evaluation of the Effectiveness of a PCR Test System for Identifying Salmonella Bacteria in Clinical and Epidemiological Materials

Yessimseit, D.; Kassenova, A.; Abdeliyev, B.; Rysbekova, A.; Zhumadilova, Z.; Abdel, Z.; Mussagaliyeva, R.; Meka-Mechenko, T.; Begimbayeva, E.; Nusipzhanova, Z.; Maksatova, A.; Agzam, S.; Abdrassilova, G.; Kulbek, B.; Reva, O.; Abdirassilova, A.

2026-06-24 microbiology 10.64898/2026.06.24.734224 medRxiv
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BackgroundReliable detection of Salmonella remains a major challenge for public health surveillance and food safety due to the growing diversity of circulating serovars and the limitations of existing molecular targets. This study aimed to identify an optimal molecular target and develop a TaqMan real-time PCR assay for the detection of Salmonella spp. MethodsBased on the results screening for Salmonella genes suitability as molecular markers, a TaqMan real-time PCR assay targeting the hilA gene was developed and validated. Analytical sensitivity, analytical specificity, and performance on bacterial isolates and artificially contaminated food samples were assessed. ResultsAmong all candidate targets, hilA demonstrated the broadest coverage and was detected in all tested Salmonella isolates, including representatives of rare serological groups, whereas invA conventionally used for this pathogen detection, was absent in a subset of strains. The assay exhibited a limit of detection of 100 bacterial cells/mL and 100 fg/L of genomic DNA. No cross-reactivity was observed with DNA from Shigella flexneri, Shigella sonnei, Yersinia pestis, Y. pseudotuberculosis, Y. enterocolitica, Y. kristensenii, Bacillus anthracis, Vibrio cholerae, or Francisella tularensis. The assay successfully detected Salmonella DNA in all artificially contaminated food samples tested. Evaluation using a collection of 25 bacterial isolates demonstrated positive amplification in all 24 confirmed Salmonella strains, while a strain initially identified by conventional bacteriology as Salmonella but subsequently confirmed by whole-genome sequencing as Proteus mirabilis yielded a negative result. ConclusionsThe hilA gene represents a highly conserved and reliable molecular target for the detection of Salmonella spp. The developed TaqMan real-time PCR assay demonstrated high analytical sensitivity, excellent specificity, and broad serovar coverage, supporting its application in laboratory detection of Salmonella, food safety monitoring, and epidemiological surveillance.